Andrew Luck   QB   Stanford

TALENT BOARD

 Round 1

 

STRENGTHS

Andrew has the size, talent, intelligence and mental strength to become an excellent NFL QB.  He can make all the throws and shows good velocity and accuracy.  He seems to be an excellent teammate and looks to me to be very coachable.  He is smart, understands defenses and has strong athletic ability to gain a first down with his legs when needed.  He moves very well in the pocket to avoid a blitz, but at the same time, is calm in the pocket and, when pressured, does not change his arm speed or release point.  Andrew also understands that he is the focal point of the offense, but that he is not the whole offense.  He uses the players around him well and takes what a defense gives him instead of going for the big play on every snap of the ball. Andrew is the type of player, who in the future, will be able to be his own offensive coordinator because he understands the big picture in calling plays instead of just the moment.

 

CONCERNS

Andrew is well protected in a two-tight end pro style offense system that allows him excellent protection when he needs to make a franchise throw.  However, even with this, he struggles right now to bring his team from behind.  It's obvious that this quarterback-friendly system is meant to keep the pressure off Andrew, which means that Andrew struggles when he has to throw from the pocket with a pass rush in his face; however, so does Tom Brady and that hasn't stopped him.  Andrew will leave the pocket when he feels pressure but is also smart enough to continue to look down the field.  He seems to have a short fuse when things are going wrong and reverts to the run game when the pressure to make a franchise throw is needed more than most highly rated quarterbacks do.  Of course this could be because he reads defenses so well and knows the run will impact better than a pass at that point.  Andrew has not shown the ability to lead his team from behind or, for that matter, been involved in many tight games.  He also lacks the competition level that most other QB's have had to go up against during his college years, but that also could have been said for Ben Roethlisberger (QB Pittsburgh Steelers) when he came out in the draft!

    

BOTTOM LINE

I would suggest that the team that drafts Andrew commit to the same offense he uses right now.  Does that make too much sense?  Andrew Luck reminds me a lot of Troy Aikman (QB Dallas Cowboys).  He is a systems quarterback, but in spite of that, I would think that just about any team in the top ten would love to draft a player with Troy Aikman type of potential.  Don't bother drafting Andrew if you are not going to use the offense Andrew has grown to love because he will struggle big time adjusting to another offensive system.  Andrew does not like pressure in his face and will roll out to his right side if his first receiver is not open.  He is athletic enough to extend plays and in the open field makes good decisions, but in the pocket, is prone to mistakes when he is kept in the pocket and has to go through his progressions.  He is a systems quarterback and can run a west coat offense if you give him two backs or two tight ends.  When you draft Andrew, you will also be drafting his father and this can be problematic sometimes.  As an owner, understand that if Andrew is successful (much like with the Mannings), your franchise could be held captive to their whims.  That means involvement with the owner about coaching staff, other players and game plans.  This is a group that will not deal with a general manager.  They will deal only with the owner to establish themselves as a partner in the owner's franchise.  This is a good thing and a bad thing.  For some owners, this might be a deal breaker.  The closer we get to the draft, if this is a problem, look for bad reports to emerge about Andrew and his father.  This is no reason not to draft Andrew, but it may be a negotiating issue on future contracts.  That being said, Andrew should be a very successful quarterback in the NFL. 

The BS Detector

Drew Boylhart   Nov/11