Josh is a natural nose tackle for a team that runs a 3-4 defense. He is a powerful kid that moves the line of scrimmage to his advantage on just about every play. He is quick off the snap and requires a double team by the offensive line on just about every play, run or pass. Josh has excellent mental stamina and loves the physical contact of mixing it up in the trenches. He has good size and excellent bulk to go along with very good upper and lower body strength. This kid never stops coming straight at you, pushing and fighting all game long. He wears offensive linemen down mentally because he is relentless. I call him Josh (Bulldog) Chapman because his stature and mental stamina remind me of a bulldog, which is a great trait for a nose tackle in a 3-4 defense.
Josh is not as impactful when playing as a DT in a 4-3 defense as he is in a 3-4 defense. I suspect that is because of his short stature and his lack of change of direction abilities and lateral agility. He is strictly a north-south player who clogs up the middle and capitalizes when offensive linemen makes mistake. His strength is in his ability to bulldog his way right up the middle of his opponent's offense and disrupt the play. Josh will be a rotation run-stuffing nose tackle that most teams will substitute for on second and third down passing situations. As a nose tackle, he will tie up one of the most important players (center) mentally and physically, but moving him over and making him go up against a guard is not his strength and is also the reason some teams will downgrade him in the draft.
Any team that runs a 3-4 defense is going to want to draft and rate Josh differently than teams that run 4-3 defense. That means from the second round on, Josh could be selected. He is not as tall as a lot of defensive linemen in the NFL, which may also be a issue for some teams. All I can say is that if I'm running a 3-4 defense, I'm drafting Josh at some point and for me personally, late in the first round might not be too early. Teams like the Colts, Bills, Patriots, Steelers, among others who run mostly 3-4 defenses, should be looking early for this kid. Teams that want to run multiple defensive fronts might be looking for him later in the draft. I believe no matter what team drafts Josh that he will become a core player of the defense and a coaching favorite. I believe in the building of the lines of your offense and defense as a priority in a draft. If I'm running a 3-4 defense and I'm having problems stopping the run, I'd be a fool to pass on drafting Josh in any round -- it's just that simple.
The BS Detector
Drew Boylhart DEC /11